The detailed forecast on the development of the most important EU car markets
Sample Data Dashboard
* The data shown are for illustration only.
The evolution of the automotive market and a clear view of the future are vital to the industry’s success. In particular, e-mobility and the associated trends play a crucial role. At Dataforce, the leading automotive market expert, we continuously analyse the impact of what is happening in the automotive market and provide sound assessments for the future development of the automotive market.
- How will car sales evolve over the next few years?
- Does our product range need to be changed?
- Are there differences depending on the target group that need to be taken into account?
- What is the forecast for e-mobility?
- What are upcoming trends in the automotive industry?
The Dataforce Forecast provides answers to these key questions of our time. It provides a detailed forecast of the development of the main EU car markets by market channel and fuel type for the next five years. Figures are updated 3x per year to reflect the latest regulatory and economic developments.
Available datasets
| Countries: | AT, BE, CH, DE, ES, FR, IT, NL, PL, UK, Rest of Europe |
|---|---|
| Available as: | Dashboard, Cube, Report |
| Market channels: | Private, Fleet, Rent-a-car, Dealership Manufacturer |
| Fuel types: | Electric, PHEV, HEV, ICE, LPG |
Forecast additionally available as a report
The Forecast Report offers additional benefits:
- Expert context: Concise analyses of economic and industry-specific factors, upcoming changes, and handy “cheat sheets” with key drivers and their impacts.
- Clear & focused: Emphasises on what matters most – helping you quickly identify the essentials quickly and make informed decisions without wading through data.
- Ideal for teams: Presentation-friendly format – perfect for meetings and easily combined with our interactive dashboard for a holistic market analysis.
Individual country analyses cover all major European markets (DE, FR, ES, IT, UK) – complemented by a comprehensive pan-European perspective.
ORDER
You are hereby ordering the Forecast Report once for the next 5 years. If you are interested in a subscription with updates three times per year, please contact us!
OUR METHODOLOGY
Dataforce has long explored the question of how to generate the most accurate market forecasts for the automotive industry. To identify the most effective forecasting approach, our Automotive Analyst Julian Litzinger, co-author of the academic paper on forecasting future passenger car registrations, conducted extensive research on an advanced forecasting methodology. The study was published in the renowned Journal of Marketing Analytics.
The research compares 21 quantitative forecasting methods for the German automotive market and demonstrates that machine learning–based and multivariate approaches significantly outperform traditional time-series models in terms of forecast accuracy—particularly under volatile economic conditions. A comprehensive set of features is applied, capturing both macroeconomic conditions and automotive-specific market drivers with a high degree of precision.
The model used by Dataforce additionally integrates the impact of vehicle parc data and the used car market, insights from the Dataforce Fleet Manager Panel FleetBase®, as well as macroeconomic and sociodemographic forecasts provided by Oxford Economics.
Finally, we incorporate our own calculations on the effects of model policies, replacement demand, environmental regulations, and tax changes.
The end result is a forecast that represents the perfect combination of machine learning and deep expert expertise.
Practical Use Cases
MANAGEMENT – SEE THE BIG PICTURE
- QUICK OVERVIEW: Quarterly reports deliver an executive snapshot of the leading indicators shaping the future automotive market.
- IDENTIFY OPPORTUNITIES & RISKS: Time is key to success. We alert you when market conditions change and outline the implications.
SALES – REACH SALES TARGETS
- SMART POTENTIAL: Anticipate emerging trends to uncover potential and target sales campaigns more effectively.
- CONVINIENT REPORTING: Integrate the forecasts into your reporting easily
PLANNING – OPTIMISE SALES AND BUDGET PLANNING
- INDEPENDENT BENCHMARK: An external, neutral view serves as a benchmark for your own forecasts.
- CHANNEL SPLIT: orecasts are already broken down by market channel — no further allocation required.
- INDIVIDUAL REPORTS: Create and save standardized reports in just a few clicks, and export them to Excel.
- MARKET EXPERTISE: Benefit from the know‑how and long‑standing experience of Dataforce analysts — we’re here to help.
PRODUCT TEAM – OPTIMISE PRODUCT PLANNING
- SUCCESSFUL PLANNING: How will the fleet market and its segments develop over the next five years?
- OPTIMIZED PRODUCT PORTFOLIO: How is our product portfolio positioned by market and channel?
- BETTER INVESTMENT: Allocate investment more effectively and improve product planning
Our team of experts will be happy to answer any further questions you may have:
Customer Services
Phone: +49 69 95930-352
Fax: +49 69 95930-549
Mail: customer-services@dataforce.de
www.dataforce.de
