DATAFORCE FORECAST

A decade after the first electric vehicles entered the market, the European passenger car market is in a state of upheaval. The classification as “alternative drives” no longer does justice to the importance of the electric vehicles. They have arrived in the mainstream and in some countries have already overtaken other types of drive such as diesel.

How will this affect car sales in the upcoming years?
Is there a need to change the line-up of products?
Are there differences depending on the target group that must be taken into account?

The Dataforce Forecast gives answers to these important questions of our time. We provide a detailed prediction about the development of the most important EU car markets in terms of market channels and fuel types for the next five years. The figures are updates quarterly to react to the latest legal and economic circumstances.

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While working closely with industry experts, we identified seven key questions frequently asked. With this report, we will help you to get those answered.

Fuel Types

Electric

Plug-in Hybrid

Hybrid

Diesel

Petrol

LPG

Target groups

Private

True Fleet

RAC

Dealer & Manufacturer

With the independent assessments of our fleet market experts

you will keep an eye on upcoming developments, risks and opportunities in one of the most important sectors of the economy
you will improve your planning with the most important developments of the next 5 years
and you can monitor the activities of your competitors

This is all possible across Europe. Our data is available for the largest EU automotive markets.

You choose: Our data delivery for the largest markets in Europe is available…

…via our online dashboard with Tableau technology

…as a detailed forecast report in PDF format

…as data export in Excel or as CSV

You choose: Our data delivery for the largest markets in Europe is available…

…via our online dashboard with Tableau technology

…as a detailed forecast report in PDF format

…as data export in Excel or as CSV

EXAMPLE DATA

With Dataforce Forecasts, we provide detailed data about dedicated registration channels for five years into the future.
As an example, the diagram below shows the performance of brand X for the country France from now till end of 2020 (X axis = time; Y axis = actual/prognosed registrations).

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Sample Report

Our Methodology

The forecast approach starts by determining the long-term trend which is driven by factors as car ownership and changing mobility preferences, demographics like urbanisation and the number of households, environmental and traffic policy, and the technical developments in terms of digitalisation and battery development. Having derived the overall trend, we compute medium term fluctuations stemming from the economic cycle, replacement demand, taxation and subsidies or model policy, i.e. the impact from new model introductions. For the short-term perspective of the current and next year and to go into monthly forecasts we are considering the individual seasonal patterns and working days impacts as well as special effects such as sales promotions or anticipated or delayed registrations.

The forecast is based on Dataforce new registrations derived from the IRIS^®system, the car parc and used car transfer figures, insights from the fleet manager panel Dataforce FleetBase^®and macroeconomic and sociodemographic forecasts provided by Oxford Economics. Then we add our own calculations on the impact of model policy, replacement demand, environmental regulation and taxation changes.

YOUR ADVANTAGE

ANALYSIS

The forecast analysis provides explanations of the most important developments in the markets and registration channels.

Sample report

IRIS

In the International Registration Information System you can quickly and easily analyze the forecasts and export them to your own reporting.

Go to IRIS

REPORT

We create custom reports for you in Excel, Powerpoint, pdf or as export from our database.

Excel sample report

IRIS VIEWS

The various forecast dashboards are available in the intuitive IRIS VIEWS analysis tool.

Preview dashboards

USE CASES

Choose your area of profession and we will show you, how you can benefit from our data:

MANAGEMENT

SALES

PLANNING

PRODUCT

SEE THE BIG PICTURE

QUICK OVERVIEW: With quarterly reports, you will gain a snapshot overview of what is driving the future automotive market
IDENTIFY OPPORTUNITIES & RISKS: Time is key to success. We inform you when the general conditions in a market change and show you the effects of it

REACH SALES TARGETS

SMART POTENTIAL: Recognize growth potential to better target sales campaigns
ONE STEP AHEAD: Keep an eye on the competition: What are their model cycles, what new models are they bringing, and what are their sales forecasts
COMFORTABLE REPORT: Integrate the forecasts into your reporting easily

OPTIMIZE SALES PLANNING

HOLISTIC OBJECTIVITY: The neutral assessment from the outside helps you as a benchmark for your own forecasts
SALES CHANNEL SPLIT: Forecasts already distinguish between registration channels and do not need to be broken down further
INDIVIDUAL REPORTS: Create and save standardized reports with just a few clicks and export them to Excel
MARKET KNOW-HOW: Benefit from the expertise and many years of experience of Dataforce analysts who you can contact at any time

PERFECT PRODUCT PLANNING

SUCCESSFUL PLANNING: How will the fleet market and its segments develop in five years?
DEDICATED MARKET FOCUS: In which markets there is still potential for growth and where can you expect a decline?
SHARP PRODUCT PORTFOLIO: How am I positioned in which market and channel with my product portfolio
BETTER INVESTMENT: Better control investments and improve product planning