DATAFORCE FORECAST

the detailed forecast on the development of the most important EU car markets

The development of the automotive market and the forecast for the future are of great importance to the automotive industry. In particular, e-mobility and the associated trends play a crucial role. At Dataforce, the leading automotive market expert, we continuously analyse the impact of what is happening in the automotive market and provide sound assessments for the future development of the automotive market.

How will car sales develop over the next few years?
Does the product range need to be changed?
Are there differences depending on the target group that need to be taken into account?
What is the forecast for e-mobility?
What are current trends in the automotive industry?

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The Dataforce Forecast provides answers to these important questions of our time. We provide a detailed forecast of the development of the main EU car markets in terms of market channels and fuel types for the next five years. The figures are updated quarterly to respond to the latest legal and economic circumstances.

Fuel Types:

Electric

Plug-in Hybrid

Hybrid

Petrol

Diesel

LPG

Target groups:

Private

True Fleet

RAC

Dealer & Manufacturer

EXAMPLE DATA

As an example, the diagram below shows the performance of brand X for the country France from now till end of 2022 (X axis = time; Y axis = actual/prognosed registrations).

Detailed example report

EXAMPLES OF USE

MANAGEMENT – SEE THE BIG PICTURE

QUICK OVERVIEW: With quarterly reports, you will gain a snapshot overview of what is driving the future automotive market
IDENTIFY OPPORTUNITIES & RISKS: Time is key to success. We inform you when the general conditions in a market change and show you the effects of it

SALES – REACH SALES TARGETS

SMART POTENTIAL: Recognize growth potential to better target sales campaigns
COMFORTABLE REPORT: Integrate the forecasts into your reporting easily

PLANNING – OPTIMIZE SALES PLANNING

HOLISTIC OBJECTIVITY: The neutral assessment from the outside helps you as a benchmark for your own forecasts
SALES CHANNEL SPLIT: Forecasts already distinguish between registration channels and do not need to be broken down further
INDIVIDUAL REPORTS: Create and save standardized reports with just a few clicks and export them to Excel
MARKET KNOW-HOW: Benefit from the expertise and many years of experience of Dataforce analysts who you can contact at any time

PRODUCT TEAM – PERFECT PRODUCT PLANNING

SUCCESSFUL PLANNING: How will the fleet market and its segments develop in five years?
SHARP PRODUCT PORTFOLIO: How am I positioned in which market and channel with my product portfolio
BETTER INVESTMENT: Better control investments and improve product planning

INSIGHT INTO THE REPORT

YOUR ADVANTAGES

OUR METHODOLOGY

The forecast approach starts by determining the long-term trend which is driven by factors as car ownership and changing mobility preferences, demographics like urbanisation and the number of households, environmental and traffic policy, and the technical developments in terms of digitalisation and battery development. Having derived the overall trend, we compute medium term fluctuations stemming from the economic cycle, replacement demand, taxation and subsidies or model policy, i.e. the impact from new model introductions. For the short-term perspective of the current and next year and to go into monthly forecasts we are considering the individual seasonal patterns and working days impacts as well as special effects such as sales promotions or anticipated or delayed registrations.

The forecast is based on Dataforce new registrations derived from the IRIS^®system, the car parc and used car transfer figures, insights from the fleet manager panel Dataforce FleetBase^®and macroeconomic and sociodemographic forecasts provided by Oxford Economics. Then we add our own calculations on the impact of model policy, replacement demand, environmental regulation and taxation changes.

DatA AVAILABILITY

As automotive market experts, we are thus always up to date with the latest developments in the industry. We monitor trends and analyse the impact on the car market to provide you with sound assessments and forecasts. Rely on our expertise to keep track of the future of the car market.

With the independent assessments of our automotive market experts

Keep an eye on upcoming car market developments, risks and opportunities in one of the most important economic sectors
Improve your planning with detailed forecasts of key developments over the next 5 years
Keep an eye on your competitors

And all this across Europe. Our data is available for the 8 largest EU automotive markets, as well as for the EU30 as an aggregation.